According to CoinMeta, as the deadline for the Senate recess approaches, the likelihood of CLARITY Act 2026 passing has dropped to 16%. Market traders have lowered their expectations for the bill to pass this year. According to data from Polymarket, the chances of H.R becoming law in 2026 are 16%. The bill faces procedural obstacles and requires support from both parties, as well as resolution of disputes within the bill itself. The Senate will begin its summer session on August 10th, leaving little time left for legislators.