According to CoinMeta, from 14:00 to 14:02 today, trader “fafafafafafafafsadasdq” completed 5 consecutive yes buys, betting on a 25-basis-point interest rate cut in September (probability 1.4%), at least 50 basis points (probability 0.4%), a 25-basis-point cut in October (probability 3.9%), exactly one interest rate cut in 2026 (probability 9.0%), and an interest rate cut before December (probability 12.0%). The 5 transactions were completed within 130 seconds, with a total investment of about $238.9. The current cost of the position related to these predictions is approximately $5,189.7, with a current value of about $4,214.8, resulting in a floating loss of about $974.9. Meanwhile, the associated address (0xe8e4) went short on 268.7 shares of the S&P 500 at 50 times the size of each position, with a position value of about $2.076 million. The average entry price was 7,667.5 points, the current price is about 7,724.1 points, resulting in a floating loss of about $15,200. The liquidation price is 7,771.1 points, which is only 47.0 points away from the current price, or about 0.61%. Walsh will deliver a keynote speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium tonight at 22:00.