U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises to 5.24%, hitting a new high since 2007
2026-09-29 20:38:47
CoinMeta data: The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds has climbed to 5.24%, the highest level since 2007. This year, yields have risen by 108 basis points and are 60 basis points above their 100-day moving average. The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time on September 16, 2023, and Brent crude oil prices returned above $100 per barrel. The market expects a 70% probability of another rate hike in October. The key question for various assets, including bonds, stocks, and cryptocurrencies, is whether this represents a new market pattern or whether we have already gone too far. The current trend has not yet broken down, and there are no signs of reversal. The first indication of fatigue would be a sell reversal in the Relative Strength Index or stochastic indicators. Yields have entered a new pattern that most investors have not yet realized, and even the Federal Reserve has been relatively slow to acknowledge this. This is consistent with our analysis of depreciation trades. Our latest chart book covers 30 indicators across daily, weekly, and monthly time frames, showing which signals are the most significant, the discrepancies between trends and fatigue signals, as well as the key levels that will determine future directions.
Source:X
This content is for market information only and does not constitute investment advice.
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