According to CoinMeta, Bitcoin’s win rate over the S&P 500 index has returned to 50% in the past 90 U.S. trading days. According to the latest data from Glassnode, Bitcoin outperformed the S&P 500 during these trading days in terms of return rates, ending a period where its win rate was below 50% in the past year. Historical data shows that since March 2025, Bitcoin’s win rate has not exceeded 50%. After Democrats won seven mid-term elections, the S&P 500 rose by an average of 10.7% in the following three months.