web3: Foreign media: XRP shows increasing activity on the blockchain, but new user growth remains stagnant
Coinpaper
9h ago
Ai Focus
Foreign media reports that the number of active addresses for XRP has increased, but the growth in new addresses is limited, while the holdings of whales continue to rise.
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外媒称,XRP 链上活跃度在 8 月明显升温,但用户扩张并未同步跟上。文章认为,这种分化说明网络虽然更忙,但新增需求仍不明显,这也是 XRP 价格靠近 1 美元时市场迟迟未见明显改善的原因之一。

8月活跃地址明显增加

市场分析人士 Xaif Crypto 提到,XRP 8 月日均活跃地址约为 3.57 万个,高于 7 月的 2.64 万个,增幅约 35%。但同期日均新增地址大致维持在 2260 个,变化不大。

这意味着,当前更多是老用户在提高使用频率,包括转账、交易、钱包之间转移资产,或参与 XRPL 生态中的其他活动,而不是有更多新参与者进入网络。

活跃上升未必带来买盘

文章认为,活跃地址增加并不等于新的买盘正在形成。同一批用户可以在不增加持仓的情况下提高交易频率,也可能只是把代币在交易所和钱包之间来回调动。

在这种情况下,链上数据会显得更热,但价格未必同步走强。CoinCodex 数据显示,XRP 报 1.01 美元,仍处于近月相对偏弱的位置。

如果活跃地址和新增地址同时上升,通常更能说明网络采用范围正在扩大,也更容易被市场解读为有新资金和新需求进入。眼下,XRP 缺少的正是这一层确认。

巨鲸持仓继续增加

文章同时提到,Santiment 数据显示,过去三个月里,持有至少 100 万枚 XRP 的钱包数量增加了 32%,即便 XRP 总市值同期有所回落。

这表明部分大额持有者并未因价格走弱而离场,反而选择继续增持。于是,XRP 当前呈现出一种较少见的局面:巨鲸在加仓,老用户更活跃,但新用户增长依旧偏慢。

文章认为,接下来更值得关注的指标,可能不是活跃地址是否继续上升,而是新增地址能否出现更明确回升。若新用户进入速度加快,同时现有活跃度维持高位,当前的分化才更可能转化为更强的市场信号。

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