web3: Bitcoin consolidates around $64,000; yields and oil prices suppress risky assets
CoinDesk
08-18 18:44
Ai Focus
Bitcoin consolidates around $64,000; macroeconomic pressures suppress risk appetite. Futures and options data indicate that market bullish sentiment is still mainly concentrated in BTC.
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比特币在周一自 6.26 万美元反弹后,周二回到 6.4 万美元附近整理。美债收益率上行与油价走高削弱风险偏好,纳斯达克 100 指数期货回落,也让加密市场短线升势放缓。

宏观事件集中在周三

截至亚洲时段,比特币自 UTC 零点以来下跌约 0.6%,以太坊跌约 1%,SUI、XLM、TAO 等代币同步走弱。布伦特原油在美伊 60 天停火到期且未达成新协议后重返每桶 94 美元,市场同时等待美联储 7 月会议纪要公布。

同一天,特朗普预计将在白宫与加密行业高管会面。近期美国政策预期与宏观数据交替影响市场,使比特币维持区间整理,短线走势仍容易受到风险资产情绪牵动。

BTC 衍生品仍偏多

衍生品数据显示,比特币期货主动成交结构已由中性转向偏多,多头成交占比超过 51%。永续合约年化资金费率升至近 20 个月高位,说明交易者仍在继续增加比特币多头押注。

不过,整体杠杆扩张并不明显。比特币期货未平仓合约仍维持在约 75 万枚 BTC,和此前数周大致相当。期权市场则继续偏向上行方向,Deribit 过去 24 小时最活跃的比特币合约为 9 月 25 日到期、行权价 7 万美元的看涨期权。

山寨币表现继续分化

SOL 期货未平仓量升至 6688 万枚,为 7 月 10 日以来最高,但资金费率仍接近零,显示仓位增加尚未形成明确单边方向。XLM 则出现更明显的偏空信号,价格下跌同时未平仓量上升,年化资金费率降至 -28%。

其他代币中,PUMP 在前一日放量上涨后保住部分涨幅,XMR 延续近一周强势;SUI 跌幅居前,FET 继续回吐 7 月末以来涨幅,LINK 也小幅回落。整体来看,当前买盘主要集中在比特币,多数主流代币的短线资金流向仍偏弱。

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