US Stock Outlook | AI Boom Resists Bond Market Storm! Three Major Indexes Pick Up Momentum; Trump Criticizes High Interest Rates, Says Increased Pressure on Iran May Follow Midterm Elections; Accenture's Stock Soars After Earnings
The Block
1h ago
Ai Focus
Before the market opened on Thursday, U.S. stock index futures regained their upward momentum driven by optimistic guidance from Micron Technology, while bond market yields spiked and then fell back. There was a flurry of news regarding companies such as Micron, Accenture, Broadcom, Google, New Silicon Technologies, and TSMC. Trump once again criticized high interest rates and also discussed investment projects in Iran and South Korea.
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Market Overview

Before the trading session on Thursday, boosted by Micron's optimistic earnings guidance, U.S. stock futures withstood the storm in the bond market. After a brief decline, they regained their upward momentum.Dow Jones Index Futures Main ContractUp about 0.3%.Nasdaq 100 Index Futures Main ContractUp about 0.5%.S&P 500 Index Futures Main ContractRises by about 0.3%.

U.S. Treasury yields soared and then fell back.U.S. 10-year Treasury yieldOnce it rose to 5.33%, the highest level since 2002, surpassing the peak in 2007;U.S. 30-year Treasury yieldAlso once reached a high level from 2002.

U.S. President Donald Trump believes that there may be an increase in bombing of Iran after the mid-term elections, and oil prices for both U.S. and Brazilian crude rose in the short term.

Star tech stocksMost are on the rise.MicrosoftMandatory requirements:Google-AMandatory requirements:AmazonRises by over 1%,Micron TechnologyWeakened slightly after the performance.

Driven by Accenture's performance, U.S. stocks...AI Application Software StocksRising...Kochi SpecialRises by over 7%.IBM CorpRising by nearly 6%,ServiceNowOver 3%.SafewayMandatory requirements:AdobeRises by over 2%.

Individual Stock News

Micron's quarterly revenue outlook exceeds Wall Street expectations, AI the construction boom drives up demand for memory chips

Micron TechnologyFourth quarter adjusted revenue was $54.23 billion, compared to analysts' expectations of $51.49 billion. For the first quarter (ending in November), adjusted revenue is expected to be between $60 billion and $63 billion, with analysts forecasting $56.77 billion. In the first quarter, after excluding certain items, earnings per share ( EPS ) are expected to be around $38.15, which is higher than analysts' forecast of $36.02.

Accenture's revenue in the fourth fiscal quarter exceeded market expectations, with a pre-market increase of up to 20%

AccentureStock prices continued to rise, with the pre-market increase reaching 20% at one point. Accenture reported revenue of $18.7 billion in the fourth quarter of this fiscal year, exceeding market expectations of $18.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%; earnings per share were $3.29, compared to $2.25 in the same period last year. Revenue for the first quarter is expected to be between $18.95 billion and $19.60 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 2% to 6%.

Broadcom will provide up to $42 billion in loans to Anthropic for the leasing of its chips.

The prospectus of IPO, identified as Anthropic, indicates that the company has established extensive cooperative relationships with a few major technology enterprises. Among them, one stands out particularly:BroadcomThe cooperation between the company and Anthropic covers power supply, equipment leasing, and financing. As part of this complex partnership, documents disclosed by IPO reveal that Broadcom has agreed to provide a loan of up to $42 billion to Anthropic for infrastructure expenditures. In turn, Anthropic is expected to become Broadcom's largest customer in its core chip design business next year, and this spending pattern has always been a focus of skepticism among Wall Street AI. As part of the financing arrangement, Broadcom can designate a financing partner, and these debt instruments may be converted into shares of Anthropic.

Google launches its most advanced AI model: Gemini 4 Argon

September 30th,Google-CThe parent company Alphabet has released Gemini 4 Argon, claiming that this is its most advanced artificial intelligence ( AI ) model to date, which offers significant improvements in programming, network security, and complex professional tasks. The company states that this model has set new records in the field of real-world software engineering, tied for first place in network security, and leads in benchmark tests that measure performance in finance, law, and other professional tasks. The company also mentions that Argon has been used internally at Google to optimize data center memory, freeing up hundreds of TB of memory without the need for additional hardware. Quantum computing researchers have also begun using this model.

Newthink Technology has reached a multi-year cooperation on chip design model frameworks with OpenAI.

Newthink TechnologySigned a multi-year, legally binding agreement with OpenAI, to jointly develop GPT-Synopsys. This is a professional semiconductor design model that combines the cutting-edge AI technology of OpenAI with Newthink Technology's electronic design automation (EDA) tools. The company's stock price rose nearly 4% before the market opened.

TSMC considers building a new campus in Texas to add investment to its chip manufacturing expansion plan in the United States

According to people familiar with the matter, the potential investment plan will include several wafer factories, but this is contingent on the U.S. Congress extending the advanced manufacturing tax credits that are set to expire at the end of this year.TSMCTo date, $265 billion has been invested in building manufacturing facilities in Arizona, and the North American market has contributed over 75% of the company's wafer revenue this year. AI demand remains strong, with customers such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Supermicro placing large orders for advanced manufacturing processes, leading to tight capacity at TSMC. In the past year, equipment capital expenditures have nearly doubled. If the Texas project is ultimately confirmed, the cost of each wafer factory is expected to be at least $20 billion. However, the current plans are still in the early stages, and the details have not yet been made public. (Bloomberg)

Rocket LabRose by over 4%, signed 20 launch contracts with Synspective.

Constellation EnergyRose by over 3%, announces power agreement with Amazon.

Sanofi and Regeneron Expand Cooperation to an $8 Billion Agreement

Sanofi Aventand its American partnersRegeneron PharmaceuticalsOn Thursday, it was announced that the two parties will expand their collaboration to jointly develop four new drugs. The agreement includes milestone payments of up to $7 billion. Sanofi will pay Regeneron an upfront payment of $1 billion, with subsequent payments to be made based on the achievement of development, regulatory, and commercialization milestones.

New energy vehicle delivery data for Chinese concept stocks is out

October 1st,Xpeng GroupAnnouncement of September 2026 Delivery Results: In September, Xpeng Group delivered a total of 41,256 new vehicles, representing a month-on-month increase of 5%. In the third quarter, Xpeng Group delivered a cumulative total of 118,390 new vehicles, with a month-on-month increase of 15%; in September 2026,NIOThe company delivered 37,408 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. Among them, the NIO brand delivered 21,318 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 55.3%; the Lido brand delivered 8,763 new vehicles; the firefly Firefly brand delivered 7,327 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 26.9%.Li AutoIn September, 31,817 vehicles were delivered, a year-on-year decrease of 6.3%.

Global Macroeconomics

Trump criticized high interest rates in an interview and defended Walsh

In an interview with Time magazine, Trump stated that the Federal Reserve's continuous interest rate hikes are "quite bad," but he added that he does not "blame Kevin," referring to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. He attributed the responsibility for the hikes to Federal Reserve officials appointed by the previous administration and reiterated his view that the United States should maintain the lowest interest rates in the world. Trump pointed out that today's good economic data has instead led to rising borrowing costs. He believes that higher interest rates are mainly due to concerns about inflation, rather than reflecting a strong U.S. economy. He also added, "A certain degree of inflation can also help reduce debt quickly."

U.S.-Iranian negotiations reach a deadlock; Rubio issues an "eviction order" to the Iranian delegation

According to reports, a U.S. official and another informed source revealed that after the U.S.-Iran negotiations came to a standstill, Rubio demanded on Monday that the Iranian delegation to the United Nations leave the United States immediately. Although the Iranian delegation might have left the U.S. soon anyway, Rubio's move constituted a rare diplomatic rebuke and highlighted the deep-seated distrust between the two countries at a time when efforts to end the war have been yielding little progress. The Qatari mediation team had previously attempted to facilitate a breakthrough in U.S.-Iranian diplomacy, but with little success, as neither side was willing to make concessions. The Iranian officials who were asked to leave New York included Iran's Foreign Minister Zarif.

Goldman Sachs delays the Fed's interest rate hike expectations from October to December

Goldman Sachs Group stated that the inflation data released by the United States on Wednesday, combined with the speech delivered yesterday by Federal Reserve Chairman William姆斯, leads them to believe that it is now unlikely for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in October.

Economists such as Jan Hatzius, David Mericle, and Alec Phillips stated in a research report that according to the latest inflation report, they expect the year-on-year growth rate of core PCE in the fourth quarter to be 3.0%, which is significantly lower than the median forecast of 3.4% among FOMC participants.

As a result, the expectation for a second interest rate hike has been postponed to December, and it is also believed that there is a high likelihood that FOMC will ultimately decide that further rate hikes are not necessary.

Fed's Kashkari: Even if PCE data is lower than expected, inflation "is still too high"

Neel Kashkari, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, stated that although the latest data is lower than what economists expected, rising prices remain a concerning issue. "Inflation is still too high. ... There are various ways to measure inflation, but it is currently at around 3%. It has been at a high level for over five years. I don't think today's inflation data has changed my assessment of this issue to any significant extent."

The US and South Korea will launch $200 billion in investments; Trump announces three major energy projects

U.S. President Donald Trump stated earlier: "I met with South Korean President Moon Jae-in in New York, and we agreed to initiate new investments of $200 billion in the United States! In accordance with the $350 billion South Korea Strategic Trade and Investment Agreement that I reached with President Moon Jae-in last year, we will build American Energy and American Power projects across the U.S. First, the U.S. and South Korea will advance a $120 billion nuclear power project, constructing 8 large nuclear reactors in the U.S. – including 6 Westinghouse AP1000 reactors and 2 South Korean APR-1400 reactors. Second, the U.S. and South Korea have agreed to launch a $50 billion Alaska liquefied natural gas project to develop Alaska's abundant resources, build new American natural gas infrastructure, with American workers participating in the construction. Third, a large natural gas power generation project with a capacity of 6.4 gigawatts and a cost of $22 billion will be built in Esinnaal, Texas. This will provide Texas with a significant additional reliable power supply capacity."

Pre-market trading volume of U.S. stocks TOP20

US Stock Macro Calendar Reminder

(The following times are Beijing time)

At 21:05, Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin, Boston Fed Chairman Collins, and Kansas Fed Chairman Schmidt delivered speeches.

21:45 US September S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final Value

22:00 US September ISM Manufacturing PMI; Federal Reserve Board member Waller delivers a speech.

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